Polymarket Trader

thepflow

0x402a2f0ba0188e94647473e65fdfd30e362cbf33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $269.91
Realized PnL: $3.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $269.91
Potential payout: $298.57
Potential profit: $28.66
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $24.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $652.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.18

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.44

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

No 53% 94.34 shares
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 AND France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5

70.4% 70.42 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

No 62% 32.26 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 65% 38.46 shares
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 67% 9.63 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

No 47% 6.38 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 2.9 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?

Down 31.1% 200 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?

Up 68% 125 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?

Down 33.1% 200.01 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?

Up 36% 24.37 shares