Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $206.42
- Potential payout
- $241.43
- Potential profit
- $35.01
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$13.28
Polymarket Trader
xinlan200808
0x402c51592d127c3f0a829b9a3aff20e35b6a4664
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $206.42
- Realized PnL
- $109.55
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.93
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.64
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.88
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 19.09 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 222.34 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95% 212.13 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.5% 211.28 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 91% 207.11 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 189.22 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 96.6% 189.22 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 97.7% 182.79 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 93% 178.59 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 88% 166.09 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 99.8% 146.45 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 94% 146.46 shares