Polymarket Trader

Masonclarke.mj

0x4037e7608894640c0acb13ef063261df94cffa24

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.86
Realized PnL: $261.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $981.5
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.7
Potential profit: $243.7
User PnL: -$10.05

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.09
Potential profit: $109.09
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$11.96

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11.94

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $29.56
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $21.86

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.9
Potential profit: $27.9
User PnL: -$12

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.01
Potential profit: $27.01
User PnL: -$6.69

Yes position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.31
Potential profit: $26.31
User PnL: -$24.73

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.38
Potential profit: $23.38
User PnL: -$12.48

Yes position

Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.36
Potential profit: $21.36
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.8
Potential profit: $18.8
User PnL: -$8.7

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.44
Potential profit: $18.44
User PnL: -$8.74

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.09
Potential profit: $18.09
User PnL: -$7.5

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.67
Potential profit: $17.67
User PnL: -$8.74

Over position

Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.4
Potential profit: $17.4
User PnL: -$8.74

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $7.82
Potential payout: $14.89
Potential profit: $7.07
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $7.44
Potential payout: $13.66
Potential profit: $6.22
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.07

Rei Sakamoto position

Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubas

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $13.39
User PnL: -$7.79

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.12
Potential profit: $13.12
User PnL: -$7.61

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $12.94
Potential profit: $8.09
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$2.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.41

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.29

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.88

No position

Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.12

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.64

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.73

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Over position

Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12

BNK FEARX position

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Andrey Rublev position

Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

ThunderTalk Gaming position

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

Over position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Cavaliers position

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Over position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Yes 48% 14.89 shares
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 99% 8.11 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 25% 29.56 shares
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

Yes 99.9% 7.98 shares
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 99% 8.69 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Yes 57% 12.94 shares
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?

Yes 54% 13.66 shares
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

Yes 92.4% 7.98 shares
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Yes 99.1% 7.9 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 8.96 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 99.3% 8.19 shares
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Yes 91.9% 7.9 shares