Polymarket Trader

billsimon

0x403c54b838ae6fe58a1936d5976f05e97040d95a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.45
Realized PnL: $3.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $264.68
Potential profit: $264.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $264.68
Potential profit: $264.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $78.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $44.03
Potential profit: $44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $30.17
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $28.95
Potential profit: $21.86
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $26.15
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.36
Potential profit: $17.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $13.83
Potential profit: $12.8
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.96

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.75

BIG position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.71

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

BIG 99.9% 18.23 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

BIG 93% 76.92 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

BIG 63% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

BIG 72% 13.89 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

BIG 71% 14.08 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

BIG 69.3% 14.43 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

BIG 70% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 64% 7.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 56% 17.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 57% 17.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 55% 96.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 52% 19.23 shares