akko123

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Julian Nagelsmann be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Czechia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will John Terry be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Edin Terzic be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tunisia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Patrick Vieira be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Petr Cech be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sean Collinson advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cesar Azpilicueta be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Steve Kerr join the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.9

Yes position

Will a player representing Tunisia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.84

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $15.21

Yes position

Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $13.86

Yes position

Will South Africa be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $8.06

Yes position

Will Meituan have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Ends Nov 5, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Cape Verde be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.2%
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 31.4%
Multiplier: 3.18x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Curaçao finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will South Korea reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?