Polymarket Trader

0x403f...b886

0x403f61717a77aa61320177cd991c3aa88576b886

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $134.85
Realized PnL: -$6.53
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $329.01
Potential profit: $327.37
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $171.43
Potential profit: $169.37
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $43.23
Potential payout: $121.76
Potential profit: $78.54
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $8.12
Potential payout: $88.72
Potential profit: $80.61
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 13?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $47.21
Potential payout: $53.96
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $43.35
Potential profit: $34.74
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $23.64
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 5.15x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $19.4
Potential payout: $22.82
Potential profit: $3.42
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.3%
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 9?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 27.3%
Multiplier: 3.67x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Kane" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Kane" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 4.5% 145.66 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Yes 8.8% 88.72 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 38% 121.76 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?

Yes 0.7% 171.43 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 40.6% 11.42 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 40.7% 11.43 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20.3% 43.35 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 85% 22.82 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 40.6% 11.42 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 40.7% 11.43 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 18.4% 23.64 shares
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 13?

Yes 90% 53.96 shares