Polymarket Trader

Overland

0x4042c5361fc11e0f69f1c67fafacc854fec1ddfc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.01K
Realized PnL: $1.73K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $490.55
Potential payout: $46.72K
Potential profit: $46.23K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$398.14

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $433.79
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.24K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$828.57

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $6.23K
Potential profit: $4.21K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $113.17

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $634.49
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $4.61K
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: $225.07

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $2.23K
User PnL: -$242.1

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $425.28
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $141.76

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$239

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.79

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.19

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.81

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.29

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.93

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.97

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$68.97

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$69.11

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$159.99

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$172.34

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$237.19

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$572.35

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.37K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

No 16% 1,493.75 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Yes 15% 1,890.12 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 23.1% 2,224.58 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 25% 59.1 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 6.2% 129.03 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 25.3% 432.09 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 7.1% 1,651.01 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 7.8% 6,765.67 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 27.7% 559.5 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

No 19.3% 1,862.5 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Yes 2.9% 4,875.19 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 20% 3,075.63 shares