Polymarket Trader

0x404BfFA70DCe5eb713BAB7bea08eb212a29eDe15-1766476546442

0x404bffa70dce5eb713bab7bea08eb212a29ede15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.24
Realized PnL: $372.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $29.47
Potential payout: $92.11
Potential profit: $62.63
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$5.53

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.54
Potential profit: $62.54
User PnL: -$24.39

Yes position

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.76
Potential payout: $57.87
Potential profit: $54.11
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.65
Potential profit: $40.65
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.47
Potential profit: $39.47
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.19
Potential profit: $29.19
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.01
Potential profit: $28.01
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.65
Potential profit: $24.65
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.23
Potential profit: $10.23
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "MVP" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.43

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.9

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.6

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.94

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.13

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.07

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

No position

Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Massive" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds?

Yes 79.9% 25.04 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 24.6% 40.65 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 35% 27.46 shares
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?

No 13.1% 30.61 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Yes 3.7% 31.43 shares
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?

No 4.1% 24.65 shares
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?

Yes 96.7% 11.94 shares
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Yes 8.6% 57.87 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 38% 92.11 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 99.1% 66.82 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 83% 29.55 shares
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Yes 6% 2.12 shares