ewhdfer

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$4.4

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331
Potential profit: $331
User PnL: -$254.58

No position

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $286.13
Potential payout: $323.31
Potential profit: $37.18
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $121.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $288
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.48
Potential profit: $269.48
User PnL: -$35.66

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.27
Potential profit: $239.27
User PnL: -$204.18

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.43
Potential profit: $198.43
User PnL: -$159.54

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.17
Potential profit: $158.17
User PnL: -$6.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $148.2
Potential payout: $156.83
Potential profit: $8.63
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $14.9

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.78
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$104.78

No position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.65
Potential profit: $130.65
User PnL: -$99.39

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$61.6

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $108
User PnL: -$5.16

No position

Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $100.25
Potential payout: $103.99
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $81.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $18.51
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $16.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.15
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.05
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49.7

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$78.5

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $93.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6.95
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.35
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $81
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.66

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.04

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.6

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.07

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.69

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.16

No position

Megaquake by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.26

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.25

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.22

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.37

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.2

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.73

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?