Polymarket Trader

0x404e82092262B988f91bAf0f67600583C193703b-1722976096336

0x404e82092262b988f91baf0f67600583c193703b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.79
Realized PnL: $293.66
Win rate: 64.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.2K
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $606.92
Potential profit: $605.1
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$8.18

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $538.78
Potential profit: $536.36
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.71
Potential profit: $375.71
User PnL: -$7.89

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368.57
Potential profit: $368.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.29
Potential profit: $364.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $257.2
Potential profit: $255.4
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

No position

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $32.31
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $198.46
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $2.31

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$10

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.74
Potential profit: $196.74
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.33

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.92

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $45.94

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

DR Congo position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran military response by Monday?

Ends Aug 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.99

No position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 13% 153.85 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Austria 13.5% 74.07 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

England 67% 52.24 shares
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.8% 1,290.74 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 13% 76.92 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 14% 71.43 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.9% 538.78 shares