Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.8
- Potential profit
- $66.8
- User PnL
- -$34.07
Polymarket Trader
TR0GL0DIT
0x40566d2f3a0d04aa690d63ae41903343dc20f839
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.88
- Realized PnL
- $146.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $37.78
- Potential profit
- $28.14
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $2.52
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.34
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.57
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 62% 4.84 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 26.5% 37.78 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 15% 63.63 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 7?Yes 94% 2.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 65% 3.07 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No 70% 3.22 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?No 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No 62% 3.23 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 65% 3.08 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 25.9% 3.86 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.7% 2.52 shares
- Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 1.43 shares