Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $295
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.71K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$605
Polymarket Trader
rubenito
0x405d101990061ace64f03847378ee0e07919025e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $464.4
- Realized PnL
- $13.29K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.6K
- Potential profit
- $9.6K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $3.84K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $169.4
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$115.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$850.98
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$222.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.89
- Potential profit
- $488.89
- User PnL
- -$88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.95
- Potential profit
- $11.95
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $738.81
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.52
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.2
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $167.5
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$23.71
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Multiplier
- 14.18x
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.14
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85.09
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$182.62
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$224.13
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$452.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 1,800 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.8% 900 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 15% 400 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 56.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 1,900 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 9% 40 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 48% 248 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicJoao Fonseca 52% 134 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 12% 833.33 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 4.2% 626 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 8% 626 shares