Polymarket Trader

doublett

0x4066f8b1ac51428bd4063425138b3ad621daf633

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.04
Realized PnL: $59.36
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $7.54
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $8.33
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $8.73
Potential payout: $15.18
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $8.52
Potential payout: $15.09
Potential profit: $6.56
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $12.9
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $10.15
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.87
Potential profit: $9.87
User PnL: -$6.12

Sergi Perez Contri position

ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Sergi Perez Contri

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.55
Potential profit: $9.55
User PnL: -$6.4

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.21

No position

Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Yes position

More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

South Korean President impeached in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Pete Hegseth nomination withdrawn by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 57% 15.09 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 74% 6.76 shares
ITF Bakio: Oscar Weightman vs Sergi Perez Contri

Sergi Perez Contri 67% 9.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?

Yes 66% 10.15 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 56% 15.18 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 60% 12.5 shares
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?

Yes 62% 9.87 shares
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?

Yes 57% 14.39 shares
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

No 54% 14.81 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?

Yes 75% 9.33 shares
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Yes 62% 12.9 shares