Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $23.76
- Potential profit
- $20.79
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.03
Polymarket Trader
0x4068887995E5E2dE14a88f2CCD21750bA6409F47-1770288832090
0x4068887995e5e2de14a88f2ccd21750ba6409f47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.33
- Realized PnL
- $114.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $7.46
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.75
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Google reach $320 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown 79% 31.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp 54% 9.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 85% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No 26.1% 35.71 shares
- Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 7.7% 91.52 shares
- Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 10.9% 91.52 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No 28% 35.71 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No 26% 67.04 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No 8% 62.5 shares
- S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No 12.8% 7.81 shares
- S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?Yes 87.1% 19.23 shares