Polymarket Trader

Nozomi-936

0x406ad7dbe1d3e0a0f5c84ac3ca271819f91c9815

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.1
Realized PnL: $36.66
Win rate: 53.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.18
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.86
Potential profit: $3.86
User PnL: -$1.97

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.59

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

South Korean President impeached in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 86.1% 1.16 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92% 2.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Down 55% 1.79 shares
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 84% 5.95 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 9.17 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 7.52 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.5% 6.45 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

No 66% 7.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Down 51% 3.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Down 58% 1.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Up 49% 2.01 shares