No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $60.2
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $25.8
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
droptopmop
0x40765220c08d74e115a0c2560a457ea8ebb6864b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.2
- Realized PnL
- $29.49
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 70% 25 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.7% 24 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.1% 41 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.6% 145 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.5% 54 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 2.2% 40 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 5.4% 124 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 4.4% 76 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 3.5% 76 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 95.8% 48 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 16% 74 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 17% 74 shares