Polymarket Trader

0x408a5e9E43A4Baf8D2B85713f79779aAAbAaaC7f-1772816335000

0x408a5e9e43a4baf8d2b85713f79779aaabaaac7f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.73
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.51
Potential profit: $244.51
User PnL: -$66.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.85
Potential profit: $134.85
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $26.73
Potential payout: $109.08
Potential profit: $82.36
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $13.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $64.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.01
Potential profit: $17.01
User PnL: -$9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Yes 12% 109.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 16% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 50.9% 22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 42.6% 40.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 52.9% 17.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

No 88% 9.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 25.9% 154.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 26.9% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 33% 40.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 53.2% 113.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 88.2% 113.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 11.9% 547.85 shares