Polymarket Trader

Siumicxdd123

0x408ab76729d1239023d13ecd16ba6ec0a4bffb8c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.6
Realized PnL: $702.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.02
Potential profit: $148.02
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.77
Potential profit: $125.77
User PnL: -$68.02

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 8-14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.58
Potential profit: $117.58
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.09
Potential profit: $101.09
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.29
Potential profit: $100.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.04
Potential profit: $87.04
User PnL: -$33.87

Yes position

Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.83
Potential profit: $63.83
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $40.6
Potential payout: $61.05
Potential profit: $20.45
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $7.16

Penguins position

Hurricanes vs. Penguins

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.47
Potential profit: $60.47
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $58
User PnL: -$26.1

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.64
Potential profit: $53.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.7
Potential profit: $50.7
User PnL: -$25.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Canadiens position

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.87
Potential profit: $48.87
User PnL: -$25.9

Dartmouth Big Green position

Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.96
Potential profit: $47.96
User PnL: -$25.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.45

Yes position

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.3

No position

Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $42.2

Yes position

Ethereum above $4400 on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.14

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.22

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will Illit release a song in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.47

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.38

Under position

Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.17

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $26.19

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.18

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Predators position

Bruins vs. Predators

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.98

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.36

Sinners position

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.98

Miami position

Spread: Indiana (-7.5)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.91

Ducks position

Kraken vs. Ducks

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.06

Golden Knights position

Kings vs. Golden Knights

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.27

Canadiens position

Wild vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.19

Flyers position

Capitals vs. Flyers

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.43

Utah position

Red Wings vs. Utah

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 56.4% 8.86 shares
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?

No 97.7% 60.81 shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays 54% 46.42 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 24% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Yes 27% 11.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 8?

Yes 44% 11.37 shares
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Yes 54.8% 61.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?

Yes 78% 6.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 22?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 22?

Yes 31% 12.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?

Yes 63.7% 7.85 shares
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?

Yes 53.5% 46.69 shares