Polymarket Trader

Lunarquill

0x40a19d156f040415819a39f47e9b64f6b50c28a8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.35
Realized PnL: -$1.37
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.96
Potential profit: $27.96
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $18.35
Potential payout: $21.59
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: -$2.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 88% 21.59 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

Yes 50% 2,080 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.8% 790.69 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 790.7 shares
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 91% 114.19 shares
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 92.8% 114.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 85% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

No 28% 27.96 shares

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