Polymarket Trader

kasei

0x40ad79469256618362f75716ec525c71497d2510

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $3.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.24
Potential profit: $4.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Yes 85.7% 1.17 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Yes 23.6% 4.24 shares
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 90% 1.11 shares
US government shutdown by October 1?

No 67% 1.49 shares
TikTok sale announced by September 30?

No 68% 2.94 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 87% 5.75 shares

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