Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Polymarket Trader
SnowRazer
0x40c2348351024cce5ba6fccd6015b77bbb77b2fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $339.83
- Realized PnL
- $1.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $506.18
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $397.4
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $19.12
- Potential payout
- $141.61
- Potential profit
- $122.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$18.32
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.76
- Potential profit
- $115.76
- User PnL
- -$26.33
No position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $20.75
- Potential payout
- $109.19
- Potential profit
- $88.44
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$12.63
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.55
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $80.06
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.55
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.16
- Potential profit
- $84.16
- User PnL
- -$24.34
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $69.6
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $31.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $48.4
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $41.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $38.8
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $79.98
- Potential profit
- $73.98
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $53.86
- Potential payout
- $77.5
- Potential profit
- $23.65
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $10.66
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $77.37
- Potential profit
- $64.99
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.49
- Potential profit
- $73.49
- User PnL
- -$6.98
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $67.24
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $55.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $27.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $32.1
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $41.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.55
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.99
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.58x
- User PnL
- $80.17
No position
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.25
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.65
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.48
Yes position
Will Vance say "Nuclear" during his Rocky Mount visit?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.29
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.91
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.7
Spizzirri position
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.71
No position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.05
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.3
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.32
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.48
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during Greek Independence Day event?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.29
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.08
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.49
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 10 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 26% 10 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 28% 10 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 23% 22.95 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 23% 19.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 23% 20 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 18.7 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 10 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 21% 10 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 50% 20 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 60% 20 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 31% 10 shares