Polymarket Trader

consul-crassus

0x40c6bd42a6d03e7c5986d446d09492328ab22941

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.67
Realized PnL: $106.19
Win rate: 70.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$21.86

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$77.39

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.85K
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785.38
Potential profit: $785.38
User PnL: -$6.73

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$23.5

Leclerc position

Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.59
Potential profit: $365.59
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $358.8
Potential profit: $358.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $358.41
Potential profit: $358.23
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.41
Potential profit: $333.24
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.13
Potential profit: $290.13
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $269.19
Potential profit: $267.98
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.72

Leclerc position

Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Piastri?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$5.85

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $15.1

Leclerc position

Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Verstappen?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.63
Potential profit: $92.63
User PnL: -$22.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.19
Potential profit: $75.19
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $42.07
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.78
Potential profit: $38.78
User PnL: -$5.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.26

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.78

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Multiplier: 14.08x
User PnL: $9.03

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.12

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

England 53.7% 18.6 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?

No 8.9% 100 shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Yes 6% 139.25 shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Yes 7.3% 350.87 shares
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Yes 0.2% 5 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 25.2% 70.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 25% 4 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 500 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

2% 478.66 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Portugal to score first vs. Spain? AND Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?

7.2% 135 shares