Yes position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $24.5
- Potential payout
- $471.09
- Potential profit
- $446.6
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$30.05
Polymarket Trader
0x40ce...0b54
0x40cee770c97eead4f56002e4d700046caed30b54
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $210.86
- Realized PnL
- -$15.99
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $10.46
- Potential payout
- $445.08
- Potential profit
- $434.62
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$29.54
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $147.91
- Potential payout
- $308.15
- Potential profit
- $160.24
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $27.91
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $294.71
- Potential profit
- $266.71
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.94
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.9
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.75
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 9% 445.08 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 50% 160 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 27% 148.15 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Yes 11.6% 471.09 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 80% 425.73 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 67.9% 117.79 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 29% 171.55 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 13.6% 221.12 shares
- Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?Yes 25% 80 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 17% 294.71 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 6.3% 241.13 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 62% 146.55 shares