Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $18.48
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$285.51
Polymarket Trader
0x40D68921A36523b10b885803f73ee8e0d2D9f672-1771533535927
0x40d68921a36523b10b885803f73ee8e0d2d9f672
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.48
- Realized PnL
- $3.09K
- Win rate
- 21.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$285
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$149
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$198.98
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$328
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$454.97
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.06K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 7.4% 4,107.29 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes 15.9% 1,789.5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 10.7% 2,803.72 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 95.1% 614.88 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 49% 614.89 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.1% 103,000 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.1% 104,000 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 3.5% 42,259.3 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 2.6% 11,634.47 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 2.3% 4,304.35 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.9% 4,545.45 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No 8.5% 6,407.78 shares