Polymarket Trader

0x40e1D00D3A43aF1C4f215bD7A1039cc792AD973f-1757776033081

0x40e1d00d3a43af1c4f215bd7a1039cc792ad973f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.27K
Realized PnL: $57.09K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.81K
Potential profit: $279.81K
User PnL: -$150K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.78K
Potential profit: $98.78K
User PnL: -$50K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $11.5K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $261.9
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$738.09

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $507.16

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $967.74
Potential profit: $967.74
User PnL: -$300

Red Sox position

Yankees vs. Red Sox

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.27K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.12

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $53.33

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$138.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 47% 1,063.83 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 53% 666.66 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 44% 1,136.36 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 45% 666.67 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 78% 1,282.09 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 80% 625.12 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 69% 725.06 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 50.6% 98,780.81 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 41.5% 39,211.83 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 28.9% 116,593.99 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 80.6% 124,008.51 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 74.9% 19,259.1 shares