Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Polymarket Trader
arbiape
0x40e4ae8c075166881a7139b3759521ac73fae293
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $203.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$9.14
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$6.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$6.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$6.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$6.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.73
- Potential profit
- $7.73
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.31
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp 92.6% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp 96.4% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp 97.2% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp 90% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown 41.7% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown 47.4% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETUp 77.8% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown 70% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown 1% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp 79.9% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 67% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp 93% 50 shares