No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $94
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $106
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
xfm-9-2
0x40e4dd3cf45742fd2f9c810b5190228153c0ec33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94
- Realized PnL
- -$172.91
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $17.1
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.92
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$41.38
No position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.48x
- User PnL
- -$43.5
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?No 38% 290 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Yes 5.7% 38.34 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes 11% 30 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 41% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 30.4% 9.57 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 30.5% 175 shares