No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Polymarket Trader
Jan22
0x40ec8b61b8b899d483cd4e81a304bfebccf9be17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $521.97
- Realized PnL
- $334.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $310.33
- Potential payout
- $313.31
- Potential profit
- $2.98
- User PnL
- $60.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $140.73
- Potential payout
- $162.7
- Potential profit
- $21.96
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $30.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $70.91
- Potential payout
- $109.09
- Potential profit
- $38.18
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $10.91
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.6
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.67
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.56
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 109.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 72% 83.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 138.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 174.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 63% 79.37 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.1% 1,301.12 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 96.3% 169.83 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 35% 42.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 81.2% 123.15 shares