Polymarket Trader

John1Brown

0x40f0124b1750ef622902a8113db51804d9ebe1ba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $653.53
Realized PnL: $1.42K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$214.49

Yes position

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $757.72
Potential profit: $757.72
User PnL: -$284.97

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $369.73
Potential payout: $551.84
Potential profit: $182.11
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $66.08

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $58.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $341.8
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $23.8

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $184.1
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $62.86
Potential payout: $106.54
Potential profit: $43.68
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.1%
Current value: $80.05
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.2

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $43.31
Potential profit: $22.3
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $39.98
Potential profit: $30.39
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $24.06
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $12.12
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $12.87
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$2.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.77

Blue Jays position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.54

No position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.69

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.54

No position

Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Ends Oct 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $14.73

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

No position

Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95

No position

Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $8.68

Yes position

Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

No position

Canada recession before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.9%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Rob Ashton win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.39

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$6.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 20.6% 500 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 63% 51.84 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Yes 19% 10 shares
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Canadiens 36% 50 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 77% 25 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.6% 200 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 41% 50 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 54% 26.9 shares
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Yes 38% 25 shares
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Yes 38% 30 shares
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Yes 44% 100 shares