Yes position
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $102.67
- Potential payout
- $22.82K
- Potential profit
- $22.71K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$387.91
Polymarket Trader
0x40fe57965a53d6efde2C678b8B442bB76c3a3bFd-1760950579476
0x40fe57965a53d6efde2c678b8b442bb76c3a3bfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.61K
- Realized PnL
- $2.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $681.74
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $10.49K
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $156.77
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$268.19
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $962.93
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $697.29
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $62.93
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $174.39
- Potential payout
- $553.62
- Potential profit
- $379.23
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$55.61
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $437.22
- Potential profit
- $437
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $376.35
- Potential profit
- $374.1
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.74
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $53.82
- Potential payout
- $371.14
- Potential profit
- $317.33
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$36.18
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $77.32
- Potential payout
- $297.37
- Potential profit
- $220.05
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$22.69
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $79.86
- Potential payout
- $156.58
- Potential profit
- $76.73
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$43.14
Yes position
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $100.71
- Potential payout
- $114.44
- Potential profit
- $13.73
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $106.6
- Potential profit
- $102.77
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$18.66
Yes position
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $18.55
- Potential payout
- $95.12
- Potential profit
- $76.57
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $94.05
- Potential profit
- $92.12
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $27.84
- Potential payout
- $78.43
- Potential profit
- $50.59
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$12.16
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.11
- Potential profit
- $43.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.82
- Potential profit
- $40.82
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $18.04
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$11.96
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $35.95
- Potential payout
- $37.9
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.47
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.95
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.43
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.19
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.75
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.23
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.23
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.94
Yes position
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.87
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.61
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.3
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.57
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $43.09
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.43
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.49
Yes position
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.48
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.16
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.26
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.27
Yes position
Will ARM Holdings (ARM) be the worst performing company in the Nasdaq 100 during December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
Yes position
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.07
Yes position
Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.88
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4% 25 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.9% 42.63 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 98.9% 335.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 25.32 shares
- Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Yes 93.7% 120.68 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 84% 40 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 61.72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 25.32 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 99% 51.72 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 125 shares