No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $587.27
- Potential payout
- $711.84
- Potential profit
- $124.57
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $41.26
Polymarket Trader
BigNoo
0x40ffda21a27a97deb9ea4ebb539a020a9c3fd52f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $587.27
- Realized PnL
- -$327.8
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.44
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $24.48
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.45
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$59.94
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160.63
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$216.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?No 99.8% 99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 77% 436.79 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 77% 65.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 76% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 76% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 71% 571.89 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 61% 1,138.11 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 58% 2.69 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 60% 862.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 59% 16.95 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 73% 27.4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 73% 13.7 shares