Polymarket Trader

Demski

0x41023a18fa381ac3ddf9489af513d3c2d288e3a8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.29
Realized PnL: -$19.33
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377.9
Potential profit: $377.9
User PnL: -$21.54

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.18
Potential profit: $171.18
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $15.64
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $69.11
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $13.32
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $59.67
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.81
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.26
Potential profit: $55.26
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $14.65
Potential payout: $44.31
Potential profit: $29.67
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will FURIA win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.93
Potential profit: $37.93
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.65
Potential profit: $27.65
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.56
Potential profit: $27.56
User PnL: -$4.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.94
Potential profit: $9.94
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.81

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 833.33 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 833.33 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 377.89 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 227.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Up 8.8% 45.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Up 8% 129.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Up 7.7% 129.56 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 72.99 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 40% 64.51 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 44.31 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.4% 227.27 shares