Polymarket Trader

0x41024EfB59D2C45900023CEE2c51000bFA1Ad397-1768061326254

0x41024efb59d2c45900023cee2c51000bfa1ad397

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $789.55
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $789.55
Potential payout: $13.73K
Potential profit: $12.94K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$130.43

Down position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $4.59K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $728.89
Potential profit: $728.89
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.26
Potential profit: $219.26
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.12
Potential profit: $155.12
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.75
Potential profit: $148.75
User PnL: -$1

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.35
Potential profit: $132.35
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.59
Potential profit: $112.59
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.84
Potential profit: $95.84
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.73
Potential profit: $94.73
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.67
Potential profit: $70.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.13
Potential profit: $63.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.94
Potential profit: $55.94
User PnL: -$5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.96
Potential profit: $54.96
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.96
Potential profit: $51.96
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Over position

Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.7% 13,731.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

No 8% 125 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 19% 526.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Yes 58% 8.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

No 36.1% 13.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Yes 66% 23.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Yes 13.2% 36.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Yes 33% 14.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Yes 61.9% 8.07 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 62% 32.26 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 62% 48.39 shares
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Over 46% 43.48 shares