Polymarket Trader

BackTotheFuturee

0x41097a5a77840c970ffe62ce45b5b543784dad6b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.87K
Realized PnL: $7.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $452.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $47.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $407.62
Potential payout: $411.11
Potential profit: $3.49
User PnL: $109.62

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $327.11
Potential payout: $361.45
Potential profit: $34.34
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $27.11

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $213.55
Potential payout: $352.98
Potential profit: $139.43
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$15.88

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $346.06
Potential payout: $351.15
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $46.06

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $274.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$49.5

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $297.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $2.55
User PnL: $63.45

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $291.74
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $185.92
Potential payout: $281.69
Potential profit: $95.77
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$14.08

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $273.75
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.44
Potential profit: $242.44
User PnL: -$200

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $193.2
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $46.8
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $75.24
Potential payout: $231.52
Potential profit: $156.28
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$24.76

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $201.15
Potential payout: $229.89
Potential profit: $28.74
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $211.34
Potential payout: $220.26
Potential profit: $8.92
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.6%
Current value: $49.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $150.9
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$147

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $173
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $138.97
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $61.02
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 80.1%
Current value: $153.08
Potential payout: $191.11
Potential profit: $38.03
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $19.14

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 6.5 Corners

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$96.9

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.08
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.07
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $135.79
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $111.49
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $23.65
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $11.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35K

No position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $898.81

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.03

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.37

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $118.39

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.08

No position

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

No position

Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.2

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.42

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.27

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.3

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.87

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 81% 240 shares
Trump declares election interference national emergency?

No 87% 37.76 shares
Trump declares election interference national emergency?

No 85% 53.76 shares
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

No 35% 100 shares
Spread: France (-5.5)

Iraq 89% 100 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 68% 199.99 shares
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Over 51% 100 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 16% 60 shares
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Uzbekistan 62% 100 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Under 63% 100 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

No 60% 100 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 71.1% 62.11 shares