Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$12
Polymarket Trader
TheOutcome
@TheOutcomexx
0x4113dd92bb354d53ff399ef4e5b89a9ce7d79514
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $11.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.33
- Potential profit
- $45.33
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Under position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.95
- Potential profit
- $14.95
- User PnL
- -$11.03
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.65
- Potential profit
- $13.65
- User PnL
- -$6.69
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.95
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $934.15
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $797.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.99
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $303.86
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $251.27
Yes position
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4AM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1AM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11AM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Kamala" during Pennsylvania events?No 99.9% 6.13 shares
- Will Trump say "Kamala" during Pennsylvania events?No 79% 6.14 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 15% 45.33 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 28% 24.31 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 42% 24.31 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes 21% 57.14 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 41% 54.17 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 35% 54.17 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Yes 49% 13.65 shares
- Will Trump say "No No No" this week?No 82.9% 8.11 shares
- Will Trump say "No No No" this week?No 90% 8.11 shares
- Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during events in Rockland County?No 70% 7.4 shares