Polymarket Trader

0x4131C9d04156CbD7dF5168856CBE33C1a077D928-1777153604175

0x4131c9d04156cbd7df5168856cbe33c1a077d928

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.85
Realized PnL: $251.75
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$11.49

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $796.4
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$24.4

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$55.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$72.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $57.96
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $38.76

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $50.41
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$8.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $44.74
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$16.55

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.36
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$8.96

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $32.56
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.35
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$6.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$2.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.39

Yes position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.44

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

X Money released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 32% 60 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 24% 40 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Yes 18% 40 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3% 8.96 shares
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Yes 26% 120 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.8% 500 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 25% 160 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

No 51% 150 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

No 41% 300 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

No 20% 210 shares
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Yes 0.1% 6,997 shares
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Yes 0.9% 500 shares