Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $300.95
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$381.85
Polymarket Trader
Fortuna777
0x414585f5ffaf974fdb3c6143b09fdc44b5fffc24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $680.06
- Realized PnL
- $19.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $654.07
- Potential profit
- $654.07
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $383.91
- Potential profit
- $383.91
- User PnL
- -$125.5
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $33.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $300
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.73
- Potential profit
- $272.73
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $52.68
- Potential payout
- $266.71
- Potential profit
- $214.04
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$47.32
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265.57
- Potential profit
- $265.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $28.69
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $209.4
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- $18.69
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $88.04
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $129.35
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$11.96
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $157.92
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.55
- Potential profit
- $154.55
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $143.46
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $39.88
- Potential payout
- $142.69
- Potential profit
- $102.81
- Multiplier
- 3.58x
- User PnL
- $29.88
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $7.04
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $124.54
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $70.25
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $56.33
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$29.75
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.99
- Potential profit
- $115.99
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.37
- Potential profit
- $114.37
- User PnL
- -$59
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $46.84
- Potential payout
- $112.73
- Potential profit
- $65.89
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$15.16
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.26
- Potential profit
- $109.26
- User PnL
- -$59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.5
No position
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.22
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.77
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.04
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.41
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trans" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.9
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $225.23
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.49
No position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.9
Alaska position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.16
Yes position
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.53
Yes position
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.04
Yes position
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.04
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.08
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.61
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.67
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.69
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.49
Yes position
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.13
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.12
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 3.0%-4.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No 24% 208.33 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No 3.9% 128.21 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No 3.6% 137.37 shares
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?Yes 59% 27.12 shares
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?No 80% 18.75 shares
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?Yes 0.3% 100 shares
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?Yes 12.9% 115.99 shares
- Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes 36% 8.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?No 82% 36.59 shares