No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $375.56
- Potential payout
- $393.26
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $15.38
Polymarket Trader
0x414881ccf17DE46c6e5715831b5A19bfd6b6c0e4-1774498901629
0x414881ccf17de46c6e5715831b5a19bfd6b6c0e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.19K
- Realized PnL
- $23.22
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $308.6
- Potential payout
- $335.62
- Potential profit
- $27.02
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.04
No position
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $257.6
- Potential payout
- $274.04
- Potential profit
- $16.44
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.22
- Potential profit
- $204.22
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $18.27
- Potential payout
- $146.15
- Potential profit
- $127.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.73
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $73.1
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $53.06
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $53.1
- Potential payout
- $55.37
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.59
- Potential profit
- $52.59
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $52.09
- Potential payout
- $52.11
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $44.2
- Potential payout
- $44.22
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $7.74
- Potential payout
- $39.68
- Potential profit
- $31.94
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$17.26
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $36.23
- Potential profit
- $25.78
- Multiplier
- 3.47x
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $27.73
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $100–$110 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.32
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.53
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 13.9% 12.33 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 6.2% 22.8 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.3% 55.37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 94.1% 53.13 shares
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 56% 2.08 shares
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?No 95.9% 52.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 63% 39.68 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 5.7% 87.72 shares
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 4.8% 104.3 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No 86% 11.55 shares
- Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?No 93% 10.75 shares