No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Theron.Zhang
0x4149cb9cd895a2e2151be0c6395d9e2f6336cc56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.06
- Realized PnL
- $4.04
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $3.69
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 84% 9.74 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.5% 3.6 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 80% 3.69 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?No 84% 3.57 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 9% 6.03 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 4.06 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 98.8% 3.84 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes 85% 4.59 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 90% 5.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 82% 3.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 61% 1.64 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 82% 3.66 shares