Polymarket Trader

theclownprince

0x414b394fbf7a06d3efc58934bd1602ff08c80d3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.29K
Realized PnL: $181.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480K
Potential profit: $480K
User PnL: -$84.74K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $200K
User PnL: -$40.24K

Yes position

Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.54K
Potential profit: $43.54K
User PnL: -$130.62

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $35K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.5K
Potential profit: $20.5K
User PnL: -$9.43K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $17.65K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $345.52

Yes position

Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52K
Potential profit: $18.52K
User PnL: -$740.48

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $18K
User PnL: -$4.7K

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.68
Potential payout: $17.35K
Potential profit: $17.34K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.34K

No position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.55K
Potential profit: $15.55K
User PnL: -$3.22K

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.07K
Potential payout: $15.5K
Potential profit: $6.43K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.57K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.47K
Potential profit: $15.47K
User PnL: -$2.93K

Yes position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$2.36K

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $14.08K
Potential profit: $14.07K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $618.75
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $11.88K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $46.27

No position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.87K
Potential profit: $11.87K
User PnL: -$4.69K

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $10.51K
Potential profit: $10.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35K

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.78K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $9.72K
User PnL: -$80.78

Yes position

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $9.1K
User PnL: -$629.76

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$1.31K

No position

Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.71K
Potential profit: $6.71K
User PnL: -$3.67K

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $6.4K
Potential profit: $6.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.61

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.34K
Potential profit: $6.34K
User PnL: -$257.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.69K

No position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.32K

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.66K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.13K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06K

No position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87K

Yes position

Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

No position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.36K

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01K

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85K

No position

Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 7,500 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 42% 999 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 3,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 8,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 1,500 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Yes 31% 170 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 14% 999.99 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 38% 1,000 shares
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 1,400 shares
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 600 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Yes 29% 40 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 92% 363.6 shares