fvankers

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.13
Potential profit: $15.13
User PnL: -$8.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.23
Potential profit: $8.23
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.23
Potential profit: $8.23
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77
Potential profit: $7.77
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $3.49
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.24
Potential payout: $7.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $6.72
Potential payout: $6.77
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $2.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $6.66
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $6.53
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $6.46
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $6.46
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $6.36
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36
Potential profit: $6.36
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $6.26
User PnL: -$4.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $2.54
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $6.08
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?