No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $196.77
- Potential payout
- $215.05
- Potential profit
- $18.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Polymarket Trader
JEBETxyz
0x41535c9449fca3eeb9fae3662a50c7c7aa9d967d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.01K
- Realized PnL
- $1.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $161.92
- Potential payout
- $206.27
- Potential profit
- $44.35
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $61.92
No position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.21
- Potential profit
- $192.21
- User PnL
- -$162.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $172.71
- Potential payout
- $177.05
- Potential profit
- $4.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $64.71
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $125.34
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $11.64
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $25.34
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.18
- Potential profit
- $134.18
- User PnL
- -$106
No position
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $105.69
- Potential payout
- $120.79
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $115.29
- Potential profit
- $109.35
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.85
- Potential profit
- $110.85
- User PnL
- -$88.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $75.25
- Potential payout
- $98.36
- Potential profit
- $23.11
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $15.25
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $56.2
- Potential payout
- $84.51
- Potential profit
- $28.31
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
N
No position
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $55.01
- Potential payout
- $79.73
- Potential profit
- $24.72
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.04
- Potential profit
- $78.04
- User PnL
- -$58.87
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $76
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.37
- Potential profit
- $65.37
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $53.42
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.67
- Potential profit
- $36.67
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.24
- Potential profit
- $36.24
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.84
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.91
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.98
Yes position
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.67
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.2
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.27
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $38.89
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.34
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.36
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.11
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $36.86
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.72
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.75
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.68
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.19
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.11
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $24.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 93% 215.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 73% 136.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.4% 128.86 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.8% 142.85 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 74% 79.73 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 71% 84.51 shares
- World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?No 86.9% 120.79 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.8% 209.79 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 88.4% 66.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 61% 98.36 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 29% 84.74 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77.6% 128.87 shares