Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
0x4153FA95fDf18dbD4d939dDEaFcd5F43D654c423-1772289842547
0x4153fa95fdf18dbd4d939ddeafcd5f43d654c423
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $218.37
- Realized PnL
- $412.12
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $218.37
- Potential payout
- $367
- Potential profit
- $148.64
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $18.37
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.46
- Potential profit
- $83.46
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.6
- Potential profit
- $72.6
- User PnL
- -$47.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.14
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
No position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.68
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.28
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.41
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?No 54.5% 367 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.8% 1,319.96 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 66% 303.03 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 346.75 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 89.4% 346.76 shares
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?No 58.4% 313.14 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?No 65.3% 72.6 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Yes 59.9% 83.46 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No 61% 159.64 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No 62% 159.65 shares
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?No 70.9% 183.28 shares
- Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?No 39% 130.62 shares