No position
Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.05
- Potential profit
- $419.05
- User PnL
- -$217
Polymarket Trader
0x4157...5474
0x4157f19818da67fdc9c031384ca0332a42265474
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $17.5
- Realized PnL
- $2.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.09
- Potential profit
- $300.09
- User PnL
- -$3.05
No position
Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$106
No position
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $222
- User PnL
- -$193.93
No position
Will "People" be said 100+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.84
- Potential profit
- $193.84
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.26
- Potential profit
- $156.26
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.07
- Potential profit
- $111.07
- User PnL
- -$100
Team Heretics position
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.37
- Potential profit
- $109.37
- User PnL
- -$68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $94.34
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will "Criminal" or "Criminalize" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.05
- Potential profit
- $57.05
- User PnL
- -$31.79
No position
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $53.57
- User PnL
- -$38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.06
- Potential profit
- $25.06
- User PnL
- -$16.79
N
No position
Will "Policy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.48
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.28
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.22
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.08
No position
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.99
N
No position
Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.05
N
No position
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Crypto" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 90.5% 68.36 shares
- Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 95% 15 shares
- Will "Texas" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No 95% 10 shares
- Will "Weather" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 95% 23.94 shares
- Will "Policy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No 94.5% 20 shares
- Will "UFC" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No 88.6% 116 shares
- Will "AI" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes 95% 13.79 shares
- Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No 95% 58 shares
- Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?No 96% 15 shares
- Will "Power" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?Yes 86% 32.14 shares
- Will "Disney" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?No 96% 89.83 shares
- Will "Pizza" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?Yes 80% 22 shares