Polymarket Trader

eeelliot

0x4159d9b66e877c56399de1495eb8d79368cfa9a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.86K
Realized PnL: $2.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $9.3K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $261.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $213.95
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $886.03
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $26.95

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $945.49
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $994.47
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: $79.8

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.79
Potential profit: $499.79
User PnL: -$238.43

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $388.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $11.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $53.2

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $269.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$186.8

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $244.99
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$53.5

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $190.9
Potential payout: $213.66
Potential profit: $22.75
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $29.09
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $180.92
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $199.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.8
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.9
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$6.1

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $98.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13.9

Yes position

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$88.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $865.03

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.6

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.24

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.75

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.34

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.9

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.06

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.18

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.37

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.14

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.58

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.48

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.34

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.7

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.35

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.66

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $18.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 9% 90 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98.6% 5.3 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 97.2% 100 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 66% 10 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 93.4% 35 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 20% 4.98 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 551.83 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 4,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 1,000 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Over 85% 10 shares