N
No position
Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $954
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$13
Polymarket Trader
IndipendentLens
0x416f0a7a85206cb1da6c15217dc011bbaa9f0831
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $26.42
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $157.67
- Potential payout
- $185.5
- Potential profit
- $27.83
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $139.69
- Potential payout
- $149
- Potential profit
- $9.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.16
No position
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $6.22
- Potential payout
- $12.97
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.35
Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition position
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.7% 1,000 shares
- Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85% 77.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No 92% 100 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 99.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No 80% 26.04 shares
- Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 81% 101 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 94% 400 shares
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition 56% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown 42.9% 60.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown 22% 83.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown 59.4% 83.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 31% 9.89 shares