Polymarket Trader

0x418f8A01d9b98138c81E6330F193C05e4CA35f3B-1774574507033

0x418f8a01d9b98138c81e6330f193c05e4ca35f3b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $122.74
Realized PnL: $307.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $33.92
Potential payout: $48.11
Potential profit: $14.19
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $9.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $5.81
Potential payout: $24.73
Potential profit: $18.92
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $6.42
Potential payout: $15.48
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.14
Potential payout: $12.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $6.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.76
Potential payout: $5.76
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $5.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76
Potential profit: $3.76
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $3.68
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $3.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $3.07
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.74
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $2.54
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $2.49
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $2.48
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $2.37
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $1.7
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.42

KT Rolster position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.16

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.42

Hurricanes position

Flyers vs. Hurricanes

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Under position

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.88

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.07

Top Esports position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Under position

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.49

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.17

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.51

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 56% 0.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 56% 0.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 56% 0.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 56% 0.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 56% 0.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 56% 0.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 56% 0.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 55% 0.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 55% 1.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 56% 10.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Yes 54% 0.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?

Yes 51% 0.19 shares