Polymarket Trader

pedrots

0x418ff815cfadd29aab712a09b9223e8fe9867b8f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $209.21
Realized PnL: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.33
Potential profit: $433.33
User PnL: -$65.5

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $74.19
Potential payout: $129.03
Potential profit: $54.84
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$5.81

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.97
Potential profit: $104.97
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $36.96
Potential payout: $95.86
Potential profit: $58.91
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $14.96

No position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $81.52
Potential profit: $76.63
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $63.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $42.02
Potential profit: $36.76
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Austria position

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $18.47
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: $0.11

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $9.51
Potential payout: $27.57
Potential profit: $18.06
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $26.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.14
Potential profit: $24.14
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $15.43
Multiplier: 4.10x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.45

Yes position

Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.4

No position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

Yes position

Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.69

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.84

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.17

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.59

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.76

Kings position

Kings vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will Mattel (MAT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

No position

Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.49

Yes position

Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.17

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.25

No position

Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.15

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $17.16

No position

Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.73

Yes position

Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. CD Ñublense end in a draw?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

Yes position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.42

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will it Snow in Philadelphia this December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Will Meta dip to $550 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.1% 37.38 shares
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

No 36.3% 27.57 shares
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?

No 6.1% 81.52 shares
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?

No 16.7% 42.02 shares
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?

No 75% 66.67 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Yes 53% 13.21 shares
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 60% 8.33 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35% 28.57 shares
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 24.5% 20.41 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 2% 250 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 9.8 shares