No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $744.37
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $366.63
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$11.11
Polymarket Trader
Aussxx
0x419199360647609ef4b17b1f1dff1041c15c569f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.75K
- Realized PnL
- $1.56K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $942.22
- Potential profit
- $942.22
- User PnL
- -$91.64
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $490
- Potential profit
- $490
- User PnL
- -$334
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $362.47
- Potential payout
- $378.95
- Potential profit
- $16.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.46
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $214.94
- Potential payout
- $272.08
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $78.9
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $268.63
- Potential profit
- $268.63
- User PnL
- -$53.93
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $249.94
- Potential payout
- $255.95
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $32.38
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $133.51
- Potential payout
- $154.35
- Potential profit
- $20.84
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $36.27
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $46.59
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $30.42
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.68
- Potential profit
- $76.68
- User PnL
- -$23.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.81
Yes position
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.39
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.36
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.32
No position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.57
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.5
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.5
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.43
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.73
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$13.58
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28
KT Rolster position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.5
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No 68% 1,111 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 60% 70 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 34% 147 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 65% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 85% 260 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 50% 272.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 63% 254.35 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 20% 16.51 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 19.6% 83 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 28.5% 553.12 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 39.1% 500 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 10.3% 485.97 shares