kvello

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.16
Potential profit: $999.16
User PnL: -$1

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.11
Potential profit: $306.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.3
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Zeeshan Hafeez be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epstein" during 2pm signing?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.18
Potential profit: $15.18
User PnL: -$2.32

Czechia position

Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Canada position

Men's Final - Canada vs. USA

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.3
Potential profit: $11.3
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Mark Zuckerberg attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Johannes Klaebo (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

WM Phoenix Open: Hole in One on 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will "Epstein" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will "Trump" or "Biden" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

No position

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Chainlink reach $18 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

G2 position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.93

Youtube Allstars position

Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?